Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000110 0.000121 0.000133 0.000146 0.000161 0.000177 0.000196
2025-12-21 0.000086 0.000101 0.000119 0.000141 0.000167 0.000198 0.000238
2025-12-28 0.000073 0.000091 0.000113 0.000141 0.000178 0.000224 0.000286
2026-01-04 0.000065 0.000084 0.000109 0.000142 0.000188 0.000248 0.000334
2026-01-11 0.000058 0.000077 0.000103 0.000140 0.000193 0.000266 0.000375
2026-01-18 0.000053 0.000073 0.000100 0.000141 0.000201 0.000287 0.000424
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000068 0.000096 0.000139 0.000205 0.000303 0.000464
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000064 0.000093 0.000139 0.000210 0.000321 0.000511
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000060 0.000089 0.000136 0.000213 0.000334 0.000550
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000056 0.000085 0.000133 0.000213 0.000345 0.000586
2026-02-22 0.000035 0.000054 0.000084 0.000134 0.000221 0.000368 0.000645
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000053 0.000083 0.000137 0.000230 0.000394 0.000714
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000050 0.000080 0.000134 0.000232 0.000407 0.000761
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000046 0.000075 0.000129 0.000228 0.000411 0.000794
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000044 0.000074 0.000130 0.000235 0.000436 0.000869
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000043 0.000073 0.000131 0.000243 0.000462 0.000952
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000041 0.000071 0.000129 0.000245 0.000478 0.001014
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000040 0.000070 0.000129 0.000252 0.000504 0.001103
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000038 0.000067 0.000127 0.000253 0.000518 0.001169
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000127 0.000258 0.000541 0.001256
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000035 0.000064 0.000125 0.000258 0.000554 0.001321
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000122 0.000257 0.000564 0.001380
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000123 0.000265 0.000594 0.001497